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Modelling genetic diffusion

Bio-Modelling Seminar Series
The Bio-Modelling Seminar Series (BMSS) is shared between the Departments of mathematics, physics, and biology at Lund University. Our aim is to encourage collaborations and to bridge the gap between the disciplines by focusing on key concepts.

Mario A Natiello will give a talk about "Winged promises or biological contamination? Modelling genetic diffusion in the RIDL-SIT technique".

Summary

In 2016 the World Health Organization (WHO) and the Pan-American Health Organization (PAHO) recommend to their constituent countries to test the new technologies proposed to control Aedes aegypti populations. Following the endorsement, Argentina endured a mounting pressure by private interests to allow, and economically support, tests on RIDL-SIT technology. Yielding to the requests of public health authorities we developed a simple ecological model compatible with the information available. It presents a interdependent dynamics of mosquito populations and food in an homogeneous setting. Mosquito populations are described in a stochastic compartmental setup in terms of reaction norms depending on the available food in the environment. The development of the model allows us to indicate some critical biological knowledge that is missing and could (should) be produced. Using the model we foresee how the releases proposed are likely to increase epidemic risk after they have concluded. Hybridation levels, release numbers of mosquitoes as a function of intervention duration and target are calculated.

Time: 
2017-11-20 15:15 to 16:00
Location: 
Maskrosen, Ecology building, Sölvegatan 37, Lund

About the event

Time: 
2017-11-20 15:15 to 16:00
Location: 
Maskrosen, Ecology building, Sölvegatan 37, Lund